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Home - Qualcomm outlook restrained despite healthy quarter
Archived ArticlesChips - Semiconductor

Qualcomm outlook restrained despite healthy quarter

by RCR Wireless News July 24, 2006
written by RCR Wireless News July 24, 2006 Share
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Qualcomm Inc. is faring well based on fiscal third-quarter results, albeit with a cautious outlook for its fiscal fourth quarter, reflecting the wireless industry’s robustness. In contrast, Intel Corp.—the world’s largest chip maker, based on its position in the personal computer market—posted disappointing results, contributing to a nearly two point fall in U.S. technology stocks.

Qualcomm reported $1.95 billion in revenue and $643 million in net income, increases of 44 percent and 15 percent, respectively, from the year-ago quarter. The chip vendor attributed earnings to sales of its CDMA2000 1x EV-DO and W-CDMA chipsets.

The vendor’s outlook for the fiscal fourth quarter was cautious, however, with expectations for revenue between $1.88 billion and $1.98 billion. Wall Street forecasts had projected fourth-quarter revenue at $1.99 billion and earnings per share above Qualcomm’s own estimates.

Analysts’ reactions were mixed.

ThinkEquity Partners L.L.C. analyst Mike Burton upgraded his rating on Qualcomm stock and suggested that long-term trends such as growth in the sale of low-tier phones in emerging markets favored the chip vendor. On potential threats to Qualcomm’s long-term profitability, Burton said that news of CDMA network operators’ possible shift to GSM is overblown. He also said that current litigation between Qualcomm and Nokia Corp., as well as between Qualcomm and Broadcom Corp., would not impact the chip vendor’s results for several years.

Analyst Maynard Um at UBS suggested that acceleration of W-CDMA sales, as forecast by Qualcomm, is crucial to the vendor’s growth and that the company’s cautious forecasts for the fourth quarter could prove conservative.

CIBC World Markets analyst Ittai Kidron said Qualcomm’s chipset market share may be peaking as Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. and LG Electronics Co. Ltd. take a beating from Nokia and Motorola Inc., but that a “bounce back” by the Korean firms would benefit Qualcomm. The multiple lawsuits involving Qualcomm appear to be fueling its research-and-development spending and a commitment to a long technology investment cycle, Kidron wrote in a note to investors.

Intel reported revenues of $8 billion and net income of $900 million, which were down 13 percent and 57 percent, respectively, from the year-ago quarter. A day later, the company announced a shake-up of its executive management team designed to give Chief Executive Officer Paul Otellini the opportunity to focus more on the company’s strategic outlook as it seeks to right its ship. At the end of June, Intel agreed to sell its communications-related businesses to Marvell Technology Group Ltd. for $600 million in order to focus on its core competencies.

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